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2024-12-14 04:29:51

OPEC Monthly Report: The recent steady economic growth trend is still continuing. The OPEC Monthly Report points out that in recent months, the steady economic growth trend is still continuing, especially in the United States, Brazil and Russia. In addition, China's stimulus measures and India's sustained growth momentum have contributed to supporting global economic growth. With these developments, the global economic growth in 2024 is expected to be 3.1%. The strong economic growth momentum is expected to continue until 2025 and is expected to reach 3.0%. However, the healthy growth observed in the United States during 2024 is expected to slow down slightly in 2025. However, the current growth forecast may be affected by the potential new policy measures being discussed by the incoming US government, such as trade tariffs, which will also affect the growth of US trading partner economies. In the euro zone, the recovery will continue gradually in the third quarter of 2024, but the improvement in the fourth quarter and 2025 is expected to be limited. Japan is expected to rebound in the second half of 2024 and continue until 2025, after a challenging period.After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.Syrian opposition forces: Damascus curfew lifted, demanding people to return to work.


Zamrazilova, Deputy Governor of Czech Central Bank: There is no reason to change my view on inflation risk in November, and I still think that interest rate cuts should be suspended.Chongqing released the third batch of 700 collaborative development projects of state-owned enterprises and private enterprises, with a total investment of over 271 billion yuan. On the 11th, the third round of project release activities of Chongqing's state-owned enterprises, private enterprises and foreign enterprises linked with Wanzhou Bank and the collaborative development of state-owned enterprises and private enterprises was held in Wanzhou District, Chongqing, and 700 collaborative development projects of state-owned enterprises and private enterprises in 2024 were released on the spot, with a total investment of over 271 billion yuan. Three rounds of contract signing were held on site, with a total investment of 46.5 billion yuan. (Zhongxin. com)Albertson shares rose 1.6% before the market closed.


The annual unadjusted food inflation rate in the United States in November was 2.4%, and the previous value was 2.1%. The annual inflation rate of new cars in the United States in November was -0.7%, and the previous value was -1.3%. The annual unadjusted housing inflation rate in the United States in November was 4.7%, and the previous value was 4.9%.UN Secretary-General Guterres: I fully believe that the Syrian people can choose their own destiny.When the Fed became cautious about cutting interest rates, the inflation rate in the United States rose to 2.7% in November, and the inflation rate in the United States rose to 2.7% in November, which was in line with economists' expectations and higher than the level of 2.6% in October. The data highlights people's concerns about sticky inflation after inflation rose in October. It is widely expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points for the third time in a row next week, but the pace of interest rate cuts next year is uncertain, because the Fed is striving to achieve the dual mission of keeping the inflation rate close to 2% and maintaining a healthy labor market. As interest rates reach a more "neutral" level, that is, high enough to curb inflation but low enough to protect the labor market, officials have discussed slowing down the pace of interest rate cuts. They say that if we act too fast, inflation may stay above the 2% target, but if we act too slowly, the unemployment rate may rise sharply.

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